Artificial Intelligence in Economics and Managment: An by Phillip Ein-Dor PDF

By Phillip Ein-Dor

long ago a long time a number of researchers have constructed statistical versions for the prediction of company financial disaster, e. g. Altman (1968) and Bilderbeek (1983). A version for predicting company financial ruin goals to explain the relation among financial disaster and a few explanatory monetary ratios. those ratios may be calculated from the knowledge contained in a company's annual record. The is to procure a style for well timed prediction of financial ruin, a so­ final goal referred to as "early caution" approach. extra lately, this topic has attracted the eye of researchers within the sector of computing device studying, e. g. Shaw and Gentry (1990), Fletcher and Goss (1993), and Tam and Kiang (1992). This learn is mostly directed on the comparability of desktop studying tools, comparable to induction of category bushes and neural networks, with the "standard" statistical tools of linear discriminant research and logistic regression. In previous examine, Feelders et al. (1994) played the same comparative research. The equipment used have been linear discriminant research, selection bushes and neural networks. We used a knowledge set which contained 139 annual reviews of Dutch commercial and buying and selling businesses. The experiments confirmed that the expected prediction errors of either the choice tree and neural community have been lower than the expected blunders of the linear discriminant. hence apparently we will achieve through changing the "traditionally" used linear discriminant by means of a extra versatile category option to expect company financial disaster. the knowledge set utilized in those experiments was once very small however.

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Long ago many years a number of researchers have built statistical types for the prediction of company financial disaster, e. g. Altman (1968) and Bilderbeek (1983). A version for predicting company financial ruin goals to explain the relation among financial disaster and a couple of explanatory monetary ratios. those ratios should be calculated from the data contained in a company's annual record.

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Artificial Intelligence in Economics and Managment: An Edited Proceedings on the Fourth International Workshop: AIEM4 Tel-Aviv, Israel, January 8–10, 1996 by Phillip Ein-Dor


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